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Travel in turmoil as Gulf tensions disrupt routes and raise fares

Mar 13, 2026, 12:05 PM30
(Update: Mar 16, 2026, 1:05 AM)
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city and capital of Yogyakarta Province, Indonesia
capital and largest city of the United Kingdom

Travel in turmoil as Gulf tensions disrupt routes and raise fares

  • The Gulf region is facing significant travel disruptions due to ongoing conflicts, impacting flight operations and travel advisories.
  • Passengers are seeking alternative routes to avoid stopovers in the UAE and Qatar, leading to a surge in ticket prices.
  • Recovery for Gulf tourism may take years, highlighting the influence of global conflicts on travel patterns.
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Story

In recent weeks, escalating tensions in the Gulf region have disrupted travel plans for many passengers, particularly those traveling between Asia and Europe. The situation arose following a US and Israeli assault on Iran, which resulted in missiles and drones targeting the country, causing flight operations to be halted temporarily across the Gulf states, including the UAE and Qatar. Consequently, the Foreign Office in the UK placed all Gulf states, such as Abu Dhabi and Dubai, on its no-go list, advising against unnecessary travel. This change in travel advisories forced airlines to adjust their services and created complications for travelers who had planned stopovers in the region. Simon Calder, a travel journalist, shared his personal experience as he had booked a trip with Etihad Airways departing from Jakarta to Abu Dhabi, en route to London Heathrow. This trip included a two-night stay in Abu Dhabi, but the sudden travel advisory meant that he could not complete his stopover as planned. Instead, he was offered an immediate overnight connection to Heathrow, denying him the chance to experience duty-free shopping and other amenities during his layover in Abu Dhabi. Given the circumstances, Calder decided to take the risk despite potential complications with travel insurance due to FCDO advice. The operational dynamics for airlines, particularly those in the Gulf, have also changed significantly. Passengers have begun to seek alternatives to the typically popular Gulf stopovers due to safety concerns and the risk of flying through advised no-go zones. This has led to a 'safety premium' in flight fares, with tickets for routes avoiding the UAE and Qatar now costing three times the original price. The demand for non-stop flights has surged, resulting in airlines such as British Airways and Singapore Airlines increasing route capacity to capitalize on travelers seeking safer alternatives. In addition to the immediate impacts on travelers, the broader tourism market in the Middle East is also experiencing significant fallout. The World Travel and Tourism Council estimated that the ongoing conflict has led to a loss of at least $600 million per day in international visitor spending due to canceled flights and hotel reservations. The long-term implications for Gulf tourism could be severe, with experts predicting that recovery might take one to five years once the conflict stabilizes. This ongoing struggle for safety and confidence among travelers underscores the complex relationship between global events and tourism, emphasizing the urgent need for restoration of confidence in affected regions.

Context

The travel industry has been significantly impacted by the persistent tensions in the Gulf region, with effects felt across various sectors including aviation, hospitality, and tourism. These tensions have caused fluctuations in oil prices, altering travel costs and affecting the economic stability of countries in and around the Gulf. The uncertainty surrounding geopolitical developments often leads to travel advisories and consumer hesitance, which can directly decrease the number of international travelers to and from Gulf nations. Additionally, airlines may adjust flight routes or schedules, responding to safety concerns or to avoid airspace over regions exhibiting conflict, thereby limiting options for travelers. In the hospitality sector, hotels and resorts in Gulf countries have experienced both positive and negative ramifications from regional tensions. While luxury accommodations in stable countries might see an influx of business due to travelers seeking safe havens, properties in conflict-stricken areas often face significant declines in occupancy rates. Many potential tourists opt for destinations perceived as safer alternatives, which can lead to a redistribution of tourism dollars and resources. As a result, stakeholders in the Gulf’s travel and hospitality sectors must continuously evaluate their strategies to mitigate risks and adapt to changing consumer preferences in response to regional tensions. The ripple effects on the travel industry extend to local economies as they cope with fluctuations in tourist spending. These changes not only impact businesses that rely heavily on international visitors but also affect employment levels, as fewer tourists can lead to job losses in tourism-related sectors. Furthermore, the reduction in travel can affect infrastructure development, as investments in new transportation routes, airports, and tourist attractions may stall as funding and attention shift towards safety and stability priorities. In regions frequently troubled by tensions, the cyclical nature of travel disruptions and recoveries can also complicate long-term planning for tourism stakeholders. Overall, the impact of Gulf tensions on the travel industry must be closely monitored, as it presents both challenges and opportunities. The adaptability of the industry will be key to navigating these geopolitical landscapes. Stakeholders are encouraged to collaborate with governments and international organizations to promote safer travel conditions, enhance crisis communication strategies, and strengthen the resilience of the travel economy. Understanding the nuances of geopolitical relations and their implications for travel is critical as stakeholders aim to support growth and stability within this vital industry.

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