
September heatwave forecast for North and Scotland this weekend
2024-09-03 11:09- The Met Office forecasts temperatures of 26C in the North and Scotland this weekend.
- This summer has been the coolest in almost a decade, with significant rainfall affecting Scotland and Northern Ireland.
- There is no indication of a heatwave similar to last September's record temperatures.
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Insights
The Met Office has indicated that the North and Scotland may experience a brief heatwave this weekend, with temperatures reaching up to 26C. This forecast comes after a notably cool summer, which was the chilliest in nearly a decade, with mean temperatures for July and August falling below the long-term average. The summer was marked by significant rainfall, particularly in Scotland and Northern Ireland, where some areas received double their average rainfall in August. Despite the potential for warmer weather in the North, the Met Office has cautioned that there is no indication of a heatwave comparable to last September, which recorded temperatures as high as 33C and included three tropical nights. The spokesperson, Oli Claydon, noted that while the North might see temperatures approaching heatwave levels, the overall forecast remains uncertain, with a clear divide in weather patterns between the North and South of the UK. The upcoming weekend's weather is expected to be influenced by a severe weather warning issued for Wednesday and Thursday, which may affect conditions leading into the weekend. Northern Ireland is predicted to have more settled weather, but it will not be as warm as Scotland. The Met Office has emphasized that the chances of experiencing temperatures exceeding 30C later in the month are slim, with no current signs of a repeat of last year's exceptional heat. Overall, while there is a glimmer of warmth for parts of the North and Scotland, the broader context of this summer's weather has been characterized by cooler temperatures and increased rainfall, leaving many to wonder if this brief warm spell will be a fleeting moment in an otherwise damp season.
Contexts
The UK is set to experience a heatwave this weekend, with temperatures approaching 30C due to a warm air plume from continental Europe. Areas such as Greater London and Southampton are expected to see highs of 28C to 29C, while northern regions will be milder. This follows a summer that was the coolest in nine years, averaging 14.37°C, influenced by varying weather patterns including Arctic air and warmer Atlantic conditions. Despite the anticipated heat, the Met Office has issued warnings for thunderstorms and heavy rainfall, particularly in England and eastern Wales. These warnings highlight risks of flooding, lightning strikes, and hail, indicating that while some areas may enjoy warm weather, others could face severe conditions. The unpredictable weather in September is attributed to the influence of the jet stream, which has led to mixed conditions across the UK. Clarity on the weather forecast is expected by late Tuesday as the situation stabilizes. As the heatwave arrives, it is essential for residents to remain aware of the potential for thundery showers and increased humidity, especially in southern parts of the UK, as summer conditions make a brief return.