Insights

Egypt has significantly increased its military support to Somalia amid rising tensions with Ethiopia. Recently, an Egyptian warship delivered a substantial cache of weaponry, including anti-aircraft guns and artillery, to Mogadishu. This shipment is part of Egypt's ongoing efforts to bolster the capabilities of the Somali army, which have intensified following a joint security pact signed in August. The Egyptian Foreign Ministry emphasized its commitment to supporting Somalia's aspirations for security and stability. The relationship between Egypt and Somalia has strengthened this year, primarily due to their mutual distrust of Ethiopia. This tension escalated after Ethiopia's agreement with Somaliland to lease land for a port, which Somalia views as a violation of its sovereignty. In response, Somalia has demanded the withdrawal of Ethiopian troops stationed in the country, unless the Somaliland deal is rescinded. Egypt has condemned Ethiopia's actions and has expressed solidarity with Somalia. President Abdel Fattah el-Sisi has publicly stated that Egypt will not allow any threats to Somalia's security. Additionally, Egypt has offered to contribute troops to a new peacekeeping mission in Somalia, further indicating its commitment to the region's stability. The delivery of military aid and the potential for increased Egyptian military presence in Somalia could lead to heightened tensions with Ethiopia. As both countries navigate their complex relationships, the situation remains precarious, with implications for regional security and stability.