
US prepares for prolonged military action against Iran
US prepares for prolonged military action against Iran
- The US military is planning a multi-week operation against Iran if President Trump gives the order.
- Negotiations over the Iranian nuclear program are taking place amid heightened military pressures.
- A military campaign against Iran could trigger significant conflict and retaliation from both sides.
Story
In recent days, tensions between the United States and Iran have escalated significantly as military preparations intensify. The US military has reportedly begun planning for a sustained, multi-week operation against Iran, contingent upon President Donald Trump's orders. This potential military campaign comes amid ongoing negotiations over Iran's nuclear program and follows increased military pressure on Tehran. Discussions have occurred between officials from both nations, highlighting that while there are negotiations, Iran remains resolute in its stance regarding its nuclear program and has indicated a readiness for military confrontation if diplomatic efforts fail. Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi has emphasized that Iran's nuclear agenda is peaceful, but he has also warned of military readiness in response to potential aggression. This context is underscored by the US's focus on possibly conducting strikes not only against nuclear facilities but also against Iranian state and security establishments. As part of this scenario, US officials are reportedly expecting a retaliatory response from Iran, which could lead to a cycle of strikes and reprisals. Trump's approach includes a desire for any military action to be swift and decisive; however, there remain concerns within his administration about the potential for prolonged conflict and the uncertainty surrounding the possible effectiveness of military strikes in leading to a change in leadership in Iran. The diplomatic efforts appear to be complicated by the lack of trust from Iran due to past actions by the US. The foreign minister stated that Iran has lost trust in the US after being bombed during negotiations in June 2025, signaling the difficulties in reaching a peaceful resolution to the ongoing tensions. Furthermore, the US has heightened its military presence near Iran, with reports of a significant buildup of naval forces in the region, akin to what Trump referred to as a massive armada. As Western officials continue to leverage military positioning as part of their strategy, it raises critical questions about the long-term implications for both regional stability and US-Iran relations, with Russian Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov highlighting the potential explosive nature of this escalation and calling for a peaceful resolution.
Context
The history of US-Iran military relations is complex, rooted in decades of political, ideological, and military evolution. The relationship was initially characterized by a period of cooperation, particularly during the reign of the Shah of Iran, Mohammad Reza Pahlavi. The United States supported Iran as a key ally in the Middle East, primarily for countering Soviet influence in the region. This cooperation included substantial military aid and arms sales, which significantly modernized the Iranian military. However, the 1979 Iranian Revolution was a turning point; it led to the overthrow of the Shah, the establishment of the Islamic Republic, and the beginning of hostilities between Iran and the US. The subsequent hostage crisis, where fifty-two American diplomats and citizens were held for 444 days, further cemented mutual distrust and animosity. In the years following the revolution, military relations deteriorated, exemplified by conflicts such as the Iran-Iraq War from 1980 to 1988, in which the US supported Iraq with intelligence and military equipment. This indirect involvement intensified Iran's hostility towards the US, which it viewed as complicit in its suffering. The dynamics shifted in the late 1990s and early 2000s, where initial opportunities for communication arose, yet these were marred by recurring crises, including the 2001 September 11 attacks that saw Iran positioned as a potential partner in combating terrorism, followed by the US-led invasion of Iraq in 2003, which destabilized the region further and increased tensions. The escalations of the 2010s, particularly regarding Iran’s nuclear program, marked a critical moment in US-Iran relations. The introduction of sanctions, primarily targeting Iran’s economy and military capabilities, was a significant tool employed by the US to limit Iran's influence and military ambitions in the Middle East. Despite diplomatic efforts such as the Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action (JCPOA) in 2015, which sought to curb Iran's nuclear capabilities in exchange for sanctions relief, the US withdrawal from the agreement in 2018 under the Trump administration reignited tensions. This withdrawal was met with increased military posturing from both sides, coupled with incidents such as the killing of Iranian General Qasem Soleimani in early 2020, which further pushed the two countries to the brink of conflict. As of 2026, the military relationship between the US and Iran remains fraught with tension and unpredictability. While both nations continue to assert military might, particularly through proxy conflicts in the Middle East, the lack of formal diplomatic engagement hinders prospects for de-escalation. The US maintains a strategic military presence in the Gulf to deter Iranian activities, while Iran has increasingly enhanced its military capabilities and allied with regional militia groups. Efforts to restore diplomatic relations seem continually undermined by significant ideological divides and geopolitical interests. The future trajectory of US-Iran military relations will likely hinge on shifts in domestic policies, regional stability, and the global geopolitical landscape.