
Apple surpasses Samsung as smartphone market leader in 2025
Apple surpasses Samsung as smartphone market leader in 2025
- Counterpoint Research projects Apple will reach 19.4% smartphone market share in 2025.
- Samsung is expected to slip to 18.7% market share, marking its first decline in over a decade.
- This transition indicates a significant shift in the smartphone market dynamics, with Apple regaining its lead.
Story
In 2025, a significant shift is anticipated in the global smartphone market, with Apple poised to overtake Samsung as the leading manufacturer for the first time in over a decade. According to a report from Counterpoint Research, Apple is expected to capture 19.4% of the global smartphone market share, while Samsung's share is projected to decrease to 18.7%. This transition marks an important milestone for Apple, whose growth can be attributed to increasing demand for its upcoming iPhone 17 series and an influx of users upgrading their devices after the COVID-19 pandemic. The report indicates that global smartphone shipments are expected to grow by 3.3% year over year, largely fueled by Apple's strong performance in the market. Notably, shipments of iPhones are anticipated to rise by 10% in 2025, significantly contributing to Apple's regained position. Senior analyst Yang Wang highlighted that many consumers who bought smartphones during the COVID-19 boom are now ready to upgrade. Furthermore, approximately 358 million second-hand iPhones were sold between 2023 and Q2 2025, and these prior iPhone users are likely to switch to newer models. While Apple is expected to benefit predominantly from this replacement cycle, Samsung's strategy revolves around enhancing its A series smartphones, which are seeing increased demand in emerging markets due to their competitive pricing and specifications. Additionally, Samsung plans to focus on premium offerings in mature markets to maintain its market share. Despite these efforts, the market analysis suggests that Samsung will lose its long-held position as the number one smartphone manufacturer. The landscape for smartphone manufacturers is shifting, with Chinese companies also set to strengthen their presence in the market. These manufacturers are anticipated to look beyond domestic markets to sustain growth, especially by moving into higher-priced segments with premium features to increase profitability. This diversification strategy may solidify their revenue and help maintain shipment rankings through 2029.